Fans of the Magpies are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's outfit as an inconsistent companion. When everything clicks, they can be the ultimate life of the party, delivering high-intensity performances. But, on other occasions, once-dependable individuals like their midfield linchpin and others simply do not show up.
Compounding these problems is a second-half approach riddled with a distinct streak of chaos. Before their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the facts paint a sobering tale: the team has let slip 13 crucial top-flight leverage from winning situations this campaign and are without a clean sheet in 10 consecutive outings across all competitions. Claiming victory at their famous stadium would be only their second domestic success on the travel this season.
Conversely, defeat has been tasted on one occasion in their previous six league encounters, and despite sitting in a seemingly lowly 11th place, they are a only 6 points off the highly-prized Champions League places. Factor in an impending two-part Carabao Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a decent prospect of advancing to the European Cup last 16, and it is simpler to see the manager's cautious positivity.
“It's not only about problems,” remarked the club's manager. “There are assets as well. My glass is very much optimistic currently. I understand outside observers may hold a opposing take, but my belief is we're getting better.”
The question remains: can this collection of players recreate – or even exceed – the successes of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and European-qualifying standing? Managing a hectic schedule complicates.
The resulting fatigue might be the reason behind the inability to maintain a superb opening 45-minute performance versus Chelsea, ultimately letting slip a 2-0 advantage to tie the game. Likewise, it is possibly the reason for a poor performance in a painful loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the team looked off the pace just days after a tough European away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly Howe's forte, the relentless grind of twice-weekly football has radically reduced valuable practice sessions. This hinders the squad's stylistic adjustment to operating with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the departed their former star. Although extremely talented, Woltemade does not possess the same electric breakaway speed or relentless pressing.
Indeed, the team's signature pressing game has at times broken down. Fitness issues to key cog Joelinton have exacerbated matters, while expensive arrivals the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled settling after their combined £90m+ transfers.
While a switch to a 3-5-2 could arguably assist the team, a severe defensive injury list renders that unlikely. Important defenders will be missing for the upcoming crucial matches, challenging the team's depth.
When playing at their high-tempo peak, they look virtually unstoppable. The catch is maintaining that level for the entire 90 minutes. The typical plan B of sitting back into a deep-lying counter-attacking shape has at times proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into disorganized at two-all,” said the coach. “But the intention was going for the victory. We always go out to win.”
What seems required is a balanced approach – involving superior ball control, a midfield adept of slowing the pace, and a sensible willingness to sometimes accept a point. However, a desire to challenge on every fronts is stretching thin player numbers to their limit.
This might seem heretical to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the present schedule pile-up. Amid critical European & league games on the agenda, the need to carefully prioritize is becoming increasingly obvious.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the challenge ahead. “Being at this club, the pressures are enormous. Every moment's critical. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the League Cup last four, we want to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have plenty of improvement to do to become the consistently successful side we want to be. The ability to put sequences of victories has escaped us this season.
“The task is to attain those heights we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the assurance to do that is returning. But nowadays we have to show it. It's not all bad in this moment, but the coming period will shape a lot.”
A tech strategist with over a decade of experience in digital transformation and business innovation.